What the experts are saying

Baseball Prospectus Mock Draft:

1.     Stephen Strasburg, RHP, SDSU-Nationals
2.     Dustin Ackley, OF/IB, UNC –Mariners
3.     Donavan Tate, OF, HS (GA) – Padres
4.     Grant Green, SS, USC – Pirates
5.     Tyler Matzek, LHP, HS (CA) – Orioles
6.     Zack Wheeler, RHP, HS (GA) – Giants
7.     Alex White, RHP, UNC – Braves
8.     Shelby Miller, RHP, HS (TX) – Reds
9.     Tanner Scheppers, RHP, St. Paul Saints-Tigers
10.   Mike Minor, LHP, Vanderbilt-Nationals

            To summarize (because its premium content), Baseball Prospectus thinks the rumors that the Nationals want to take a cheaper guy like Jenkins or Brad Jackson are false. They expect them to take the best pitcher on the board and in this case it’s Mike Minor. BP says they will hold out to see if Alex White falls to them, but his recent 11 K performance probably saved his top 10 status. They say the Nats motto is college and safe.


BP did an earlier article on Mike Minor saying he could fall anywhere from 3-15 in the draft. They attribute this to the fact that he doesn’t have top shelf talent, but is very likely to be a solid Major League contributor. “If you look at all of the pitchers (non-Strasburg category), and set the odds for most likely to win 100 games in the big leagues, Minor would be in the top three; if you set the odds for Cy Young awards, or All-Star games, or a more impressive total like 200 wins, he wouldn’t even be in the picture.”

Minor is a pitcher who will pound the zone with an average fastball mixed with a plus change up. His breaking balls are average but he has good command on them. He is almost a shoe in to be a solid Major League starter.

BP Ranks Mike Minor as the 27th best prospect in terms of talent in the draft.

Baseball America Mock Draft:

1.     Nationals-Stephen Strasburg
2.     Mariners- Dustin Ackley
3.     Padres- Donovan Tate
4.     Pirates- Aaron Crow (This pick was updated in their blog to be Tony Sanchez)
5.     Orioles- Zack Wheeler
6.     Giants- Tyler Matzek
7.     Braves- Alex White
8.     Reds- Mike Minor
9.     Tigers- Rex Brothers
10. Nationals- Drew Storen

Because this is a compensation pick unprotected going forward, Washington will make sure it has this player all but signed beforehand. In order, the Nationals are targeting Minor, Storen, Kennesaw State righthander Chad Jenkins and Pollock.

Drew Storen is a 6-2 sophomore out of Stanford. Drafted in the 37th round out of high school by the Yankees, Storen opted to go to college to prove himself. In 31 games as a freshman Storen worked exclusively out of the bullpen, going five and three with a 3.51 ERA. In 56.1 IP he struck out 50 and walked only 15.

This, his sophomore year, he appeared in 28 games earning a 7-1 record as a reliever. The righty had a 3.80 ERA on his way to seven saves and 66 strikeouts in 42.2 innings pitched.

Storen throws a 92-94 MPH sinker which he controls with excellent command. His lack of stamina and multiple out pitches may limit him to be no more than a very effective set up man. He does however, have time to develop as he is only 21.

Drafting a player like Storen would obviously address the Nationals bullpen issues as it would give them a young potential closer of the future. The last player the Nationals picked like this was Chad Cordero.

Storen is ranked as the 44th best prospect according to Baseball Prospectus.