Predicting the Nationals playoff chances with Accuscore 5/11

-transAs we will do each week throughout the season, we will today take a look at Accuscore’s playoff forecaster to see how the previous weeks games influenced the division’s playoff race. The Nationals tremendously improved their chances to make the playoffs last week as the club went 4-2. With this their projected playoff chances jumped from 10.5% to 23.8%. Disappointingly, their chance to win the division only grew 4% to 10.1% as the Phillies continue to play great baseball.

Stephen Oh breaks down the NL East:

“Philadelphia was 5-2 which included 3 quality wins over St. Louis.  The Phillies have just a 2 game lead over the Nationals but are still an overwhelming 82 percent favorite to take the NL East.  Washington is now projected for a very strong 83 win season, and they are now a legitimate Wild Card contender.  A 6-6 road record is 6th best in the National League.  The Mets are still at under 10 percent in playoff chances because they have not shown the ability to win on the road.  They are 4-8 this season and this past week dropped 2 of 3 road games in Cincinnati.”

NATIONAL LEAGUE

WEEK 5 REVIEW

PLAYOFF

% CHANCE

TEAM

3-May

10-May

% DIFF

WIN DIV

San Francisco Giants

48.4%

73.8%

25.4%

65.4%

Philadelphia Phillies

74.8%

88.4%

13.6%

82.9%

Washington Nationals

10.5%

23.8%

13.3%

10.1%

Milwaukee Brewers

6.5%

15.9%

9.4%

3.5%

Cincinnati Reds

2.0%

8.4%

6.4%

1.8%

Pittsburgh Pirates

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

0.1%

Houston Astros

0.2%

0.0%

-0.2%

0.0%

San Diego Padres

19.4%

19.0%

-0.4%

10.8%

New York Mets

8.1%

7.2%

-0.9%

2.8%

Colorado Rockies

15.0%

12.6%

-2.4%

6.7%

St. Louis Cardinals

97.7%

94.9%

-2.8%

90.7%

Arizona Diamondbacks

23.7%

20.3%

-3.4%

12.1%

Atlanta Braves

10.7%

1.8%

-8.9%

0.7%

Florida Marlins

18.9%

7.7%

-11.2%

3.5%

Los Angeles Dodgers

23.1%

9.3%

-13.8%

5.1%

Chicago Cubs

41.0%

16.5%

-24.5%

4.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

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