ryan-zimmerman-throw

Looking Back On Pre-Season Predictions: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly

At the beginning of every season, Dave Nichols of District Sports Page puts out the DC Internet Baseball Writers Association survey for current and former Nats bloggers to make predictions for the upcoming season. Well, it's time for me to remain accountable to you, fine readers, on how I did with my projections. 

You can also check how the association did as a whole by visiting DSP's post.

1) Who will lead the Nats in home runs in 2013?

Joe: Bryce Harper
Actual: Ryan Zimmerman (26)

Luckily for me, Harper did finish in third, tied with Adam LaRoche and Ian Desmond with 20.

2) Who will lead the Nats in RBI?

Joe: Ryan Zimmerman
Actual: Jayson Werth (82)

Zimmerman finished just shy of the RBI lead with 79, behind Werth and Desmond.

3) Who will lead the Nats in stolen bases?

Joe: Ian Desmond
Actual: Ian Desmond (21)

Woot! My first correct prediction!

4) Who will lead the staff in wins?

Joe: Stephen Strasburg
Actual: Jordan Zimmermann (19)

Who really cares that Strasburg only won 8 games? After all, pitcher wins don't matter one little bit.

5) Who will make more appearances for the Nats this season: Rafael Soriano, Drew Storen, Tyler Clippard or Craig Stammen?

Joe: Tyler Clippard
Actual: Tyler Clippard (72)

Talk about a work horse. He's led the Nats in this categories for years.

6) Who will get more at bats for the Nats this season: Kurt Suzuki or Wilson Ramos?

Joe: Wilson Ramos
Actual: Wilson Ramos (287)

Kurt Suzuki wasn't far behind with 252, despite being traded back to Oakland mid-season. This, of course, was due to Ramos' early season injury trouble.

7) Which minor leaguer are you most interested in keeping tabs on this season?

Joe:Anthony Rendon

That turned out well for me with Rendon's early call up, but it didn't quite help me with my next prediction…

8) Date of Anthony Rendon's Major League debut?

Joe: July 19
Actual: April 21

The predictions from DC-IBWA ranged from June 1, 2013 through April 1, 2014. Amazingly, I was one of two people to select July 19, of all dates. Who are you, other IBWA member?

9) How many all-stars will the Nats have? Who?

Joe: 4. Strasburg, Harper, Zimmerman, Desmond.
Actual: 2. Jordan Zimmermann, Bryce Harper.

I got half of this right, I guess. The Nats tough start to the season really hurt me, and many others, here.

10) Total wins and what place in the division?

Joe: 97 wins. First place in NL East.
Actual: 86 wins. Second place in NL East.

Amazingly, someone got this exactly right (Steven Biel), but only four of 30 votes predicted the Nats to finish second.

I've left the essay off here, but you can check out all of the details about this one on DSP, if you're interested.

Joe Drugan

About Joe Drugan

Joe is the Managing Editor of The Nats Blog and host of the Nats Talk On The Go podcast. He's been blogging about the Nationals since 2010 and with The Nats Blog since 2011.

Quantcast