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Dan Haren Needs To Improve Late Game Performance

 

Coming off last night’s emotional win, the Washington Nationals will look to take their second Curly W in a row with Dan Haren on the mound tonight. The 32-year-old has been a bit of a question mark since the Nationals made the move to pay him $13 million to replace the serviceable Edwin Jackson who filled a similar role in 2012.

Through 11 starts this year the results have been mixed for Haren. In total he is 4-6 with a 5.09 ERA and an opposing batting average of .291. While those numbers aren’t nice to look at, it’s worth noting that he has pitched three games where he has gone at least six innings and allowed two or less earned runs. He has also, of course, had three starts where he’s pitched less than six innings and given up more than four earned runs.

It’s hard to know on a day-to-day basis which Haren will appear, but one thing that has stuck out as consistent, both in his good starts and his poor ones, is that it seems he is having trouble once he reaches his final two innings.  The numbers are pretty dramatic.

Pitches:

1-15 – .216 BAA, 9 k, 1 BB

16-30 – .302 BAA, 9 K, 1 BB

31-45 - .289 BAA, 7 K, 1 BB

46-60 – .233 BAA, 10 K, 1 BB

61-75 - .350 BAA, 6 K, 0 BB

76-90 – .333 BAA, 6 K, 3 BB

91-105 - .353 BAA, 4K, 2 BB

Simply put, Haren has had trouble going deep into games this year…and it seems that the Nationals have either not noticed or have decided to keep him in games longer than perhaps appropriate to try to stretch him out as the season goes on. Traditionally Haren has been a workhorse over the course of his career, but it appears that he has not been able to tap into that late game stamina he had prior to his injury last year.

Here are his career numbers compared to above.

Pitches:

1-15 - .242 BAA, 211 k, 56 BB

16-30 – .243 BAA, 258 K, 60 BB

31-45 - .234 BAA, 248 K, 63 BB

46-60 - .280 BAA, 245 K, 65 BB

61-75 – .251 BAA, 235 K, 43 BB

76-90 – .275 BAA, 205 K, 54 BB

91-105 – .241 BAA, 164K, 43 BB

106-120 – .285, 68 K, 20 BB

121-135 - .133, 2K, 0 BB

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